Ole Miss Football Schedule 2025: Every Game Ranked from Warmups to SEC Wars
Lane Kiffin’s back in Oxford, and the Ole Miss Football Schedule 2025 is about as gentle as a bar fight in Baton Rouge. You’ve got Georgia in Athens, LSU in Oxford, and a first-ever SEC trip to Oklahoma — all packed into a fall that could either launch the Rebels into the spotlight or leave ‘em bleeding in the West.
But Kiffin’s got weapons. Logan Diggs brings SEC toughness to the backfield, De’Zhaun Stribling is a deep-ball menace, and Suntarine Perkins flies around like he’s been shot out of a cannon. And let’s not forget Zxavian Harris, the 6’7″, 320-pound roadblock up front.
Not every game on the Ole Miss Football Schedule 2025 is a bloodbath — some are tune-ups. But a few? Better break out the powder blue and circle ’em twice.
Let’s rank these bad boys, from sleepy Saturdays to full-on SEC chaos.
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#12. vs. The Citadel (November 8)
No disrespect, but this one’s a live scrimmage in SEC pads. The Citadel’s coming in for the check, and Ole Miss is handing out stat lines. Expect Kiffin to empty the bench before the third quarter ends — if not sooner.
Estimated Win Probability: 99.6%
This ain’t a game. It’s a tune-up with Gatorade breaks.
#11. vs. Georgia State (August 30)
Season opener under the lights — but don’t expect fireworks from both sides. Georgia State will try to hang early, but once Logan Diggs gets loose and the tempo kicks in, it’s over. Good chance to build rhythm before the SEC gauntlet.
Estimated Win Probability: 97.8%
Stretch the legs, light up the scoreboard, move on.
#10. vs. Tulane (September 20)
Sneaky dangerous. Tulane’s scrappy and disciplined — the kind of team that’ll hang around if you let them. But if De’Zhaun Stribling starts eating early and Zxavian Harris collapses the pocket, this one should tilt blue by halftime.
Estimated Win Probability: 84.3%
Respect the Green Wave — then drown it.
#9. vs. Washington State (October 11)
Wazzu will sling it, but this ain’t Pullman. The Grove will be rocking, and Ole Miss has the size, depth, and speed to break this open late. Suntarine Perkins could have a field day chasing down screens and misdirection.
Estimated Win Probability: 79.7%
They’ll throw 50 times. One’s going the other way.
#8. vs. South Carolina (November 1)
Trap vibes if you’re looking ahead. South Carolina’s got just enough chaos to steal one, but Ole Miss should be in full stride by November. If the Rebels control the line and Austin Simmons makes smart throws, they’ll handle it.
Estimated Win Probability: 72.5%
No panic — just points
🐔 Curious how South Carolina stacks up? Check out the full Gamecocks Football Schedule here.
#7. at Kentucky (September 6)
Lexington can get loud, especially if Kentucky starts hot. Stoops always has a physical front seven, and this one could turn into a fourth-quarter grind. Ole Miss needs Logan Diggs to be the closer here.
Estimated Win Probability: 66.2%
Win the trenches, win the trip.
#6. vs. Arkansas (September 13)
Old-school SEC toughness. Arkansas will try to bloody it up and control tempo — but if Kiffin keeps his foot on the gas and Stribling finds space, Ole Miss has too much juice to be slowed down at home.
Estimated Win Probability: 61.9%
Don’t get dragged into a fistfight. Make it a track meet.
#5. at Mississippi State (November 28)
Egg Bowl. On the road. On a Friday. None of the records matter. This one’s about emotion, execution, and who flinches first. Suntarine Perkins will be flying sideline to sideline, and if Ole Miss wants to own the state, this is the one that cements it.
Estimated Win Probability: 58.6%
You don’t play the Egg Bowl — you survive it.
#4. vs. Florida (November 15)
Late-season showdown with major implications. Florida’s got the speed to strike, but Oxford will be buzzing, and Kiffin knows how to feed off that juice. If Austin Simmons rises to the moment, this could be a statement win.
Estimated Win Probability: 54.9%
SEC résumé builder — or Playoff dream killer.
#3. vs. LSU (September 27)
This one’s personal. Always is. LSU’s loaded, but so is Oxford when the Tigers come to town. If Zxavian Harris can disrupt early and the offense keeps pace, this game could be a classic. Either way, it’ll get chippy.
Estimated Win Probability: 48.7%
Leave the bus running — this one gets wild.
#2. at Oklahoma (October 25)
First trip to Norman as SEC rivals, and the stage is huge. Crowd will be nasty, tempo will be faster, and the pressure? Massive. De’Zhaun Stribling needs to be elite, and Diggs has to churn clock when the moment gets tight.
Estimated Win Probability: 42.4%
Welcome to the new SEC — no easy outs.
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#1. at Georgia (October 18)
This is the mountain. Athens is loud, mean, and built different. Georgia’s depth wears you down, and their margin for error is tiny. For Ole Miss to steal this one, they need every break, every turnover, and a career day from the entire offense.
Estimated Win Probability: 28.9%
This ain’t a test — it’s survival against the standard.
Ole Miss Football Schedule 2025
| Date | Opponent | Location |
|---|---|---|
| Sat, Aug 30 | Georgia State | Home |
| Sat, Sep 6 | Kentucky | Away |
| Sat, Sep 13 | Arkansas | Home |
| Sat, Sep 20 | Tulane | Home |
| Sat, Sep 27 | LSU | Home |
| Sat, Oct 11 | Washington State | Home |
| Sat, Oct 18 | Georgia | Away |
| Sat, Oct 25 | Oklahoma | Away |
| Sat, Nov 1 | South Carolina | Home |
| Sat, Nov 8 | The Citadel | Home |
| Sat, Nov 15 | Florida | Home |
| Fri, Nov 28 | Mississippi State | Away |
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